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Prediction from Weeks to Decades
World Meteorological Organization (WMO); Anderson, David; Brunet, Gilbert; Kang, In-Sik; Scaife, Adam; Smith, Doug; WCRP OSC Climate Research in Service to Society (24-28 October 2011)
This white paper is a synthesis of several recent workshops, reports and published literature: (Smith et al., 2011; Anderson et al. 2011; Weller et al. 2010; Meehl et al. 2009; Hurrell et al. 2009; Shukla et al. 2010 and Brunet et al. 2010). The intent is to document: (i) the scientific basis for prediction from weeks to decades; (ii) current capabilities; and (iii) outstanding challenges. We focus on time--‐scales from beyond the time scale of deterministic weather (i.e., sub--‐seasonal) to decadal.
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