Available online: https://www.meted.ucar.edu/training_module.php?id=1191Published by: The University Corporation for Atmospheric Research ; 2015
This lesson introduces learners to the uncertainty and errors in forecasting the track, timing, and intensity of tropical cyclones. It provides an overview of how the National Hurricane Center’s cone of uncertainty is constructed, as well as its uses and common misconceptions. Learners will explore the influences of track, timing, and intensity forecast errors on potential tropical cyclones impacts. The lesson offers suggestions on how to communicate tropical cyclone forecasts knowing their inherent uncertainty. This online lesson is part of the Tropical Cyclone Storm Winds: Forecasting and Communication course.
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Format: Digital (Standard Copyright)
Tags: Tropical cyclone ; Forecast uncertainty ; Lesson/ Tutorial Add tag