Available online: https://www.meted.ucar.edu/training_module.php?id=777Published by: The University Corporation for Atmospheric Research ; 2010
The content of this lesson will assist the forecaster with the third step of the forecast process, namely, determining plausible forecast outcomes forward in time. The lesson will highlight the role of probabilistic forecast tools to assess the degree of uncertainty in a forecast, as well as suggest an approach for evaluating past and present model performance.
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Tags: Weather forecasting ; Numerical weather prediction ; Forecast uncertainty ; Lesson/ Tutorial ; NWP Skills and Knowledge for Operational Meteorologists Add tag