Understanding the Role of Deterministic versus Probabilistic NWP Information

 Available online: https://www.meted.ucar.edu/training_module.php?id=563

Understanding the Role of Deterministic versus Probabilistic NWP Information is part of the "NWP Training Series: Effective Use of NWP in the Forecast Process." This lesson first covers deterministic (single) NWP model forecasts and explains advantages and limitations through a case example. Then it discusses overcoming the limitations in deterministic forecasts through the use of ensemble forecast systems, and the use of deterministic and probabilistic forecasts together, through case examples.

Disclaimer regarding 3rd party resources: WMO endeavours to ensure, but cannot and does not guarantee the accuracy, accessibility, integrity and timeliness of the information available on its website. WMO may make changes to the content of this website at any time without notice.

The responsibility for opinions expressed in articles, publications, studies and other contributions rests solely with their authors, and their posting on this website does not constitute an endorsement by WMO of the opinion expressed therein.

WMO shall not be liable for any damages incurred as a result of the use of its website. Please do not misuse our website.

Language(s): English

Tags: Weather forecasting ; Numerical weather prediction ; Lesson/ Tutorial ; NWP Skills and Knowledge for Operational Meteorologists Add tag