Uganda is located between latitudes 1.5 0 S to 4.5 0 N and longitudes 28o E to 35 0 E. It contains complex topography that includes large Lakes, Rivers, Great Rift Valley and Mountains, and supports varied wildlife of scientific and economic value. Due to its Equatorial location, this country is expected to receive abundant rainfall throughout the year. This is, however, not the case as frequent occurrences of years of insufficient rainfall for agricultural activities have been observed. Rainfall over Uganda exhibits large spatial and temporal variability. The inter-annual variability has featured extreme rainfall events like floods and droughts with their associated socio-economic impacts. This has made rainfall an important climatic parameter that must be considered in economic planning for the country.
The objective of this study was to forecast the March – May (MAM) rainfall over Uganda using the empirical statistical models.
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