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Analysis inter decadal of climate variability facing projections of the CMIP5 models and its involvement in the agricultural production of Venezuela
Agriculture is the largest employer in the world and is probably the most dependent on the climate of all human activities. In recent years there have been events that have put in evidence the vulnerability of global food security to major meteorological phenomena, both in global agricultural markets and the world economy. The food price crisis and the subsequent economic crisis reduced the purchasing power of large segments of the population in many developing countries, which seriously reduced their access to food and thus undermined their food security. During the years 2009 and 2010 in Ven ...
Variability of Benin JJAS Precipitation associated with MAM SST Anomaly in the Atlantic Ocean
Precipitations vary consistently in Benin from 1981 to 2010. The present study reveals that the variation of Benin JJAS precipitation is positively correlated to MAM Sea Surface Temperature (SST) in Atlantic Ocean with correlation coefficient more than 0.7. When the SST is higher (lower) in the Atlantic Ocean, precipitation over Benin tends to be above (below) normal. The years 1988, 1989, 2003, 2007 and 2008, were wet with 1988, 2003, 2008 high SST over Tropical Southern Atlantic Ocean (STAO) while the years 1982, 1983, 1992 and 1997 formed the dry years with low SST over Tropical Southern At ...
Vol. 63(2) - 2014 - Tiempo y clima - Conocimiento de los riesgos y preparación frente a la variabilidad y los extremos
is an issue of Boletín. Organización Meteorológica Mundial (OMM); Organización Meteorológica Mundial (OMM) - OMM, 2015
Assessment and modelling of climate variability and change in Cameroon (central Africa)
Cameroon is located on the west coast of central Africa. It is home to about twenty millions inhabitants relying upon rain‐fed agriculture for food security. With the increasing pressure of climate change, other activities for sustainable development such as transport, energy, water, livestock and urban settlement are also facing an increasing threat due to extreme climate and weather events. In some cases today’s climate extremes are expected to become tomorrow’s ‘normal’ weather. This assumption stresses the need of understanding the past, the current and hopefully to project local climate b ...
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Rainfall variability, occupational choice, and welfare in rural Bangladesh
This study investigates the choice of occupational focus versus diversification between household members in rural Bangladesh as an autonomous and proactive adaptation strategy against ex ante local rainfall variability risks. The analysis combines nationally representative household level survey data with historical climate variability information at the Upazila level. The authors note that flood prone Upazilas may face reduced risks from local rainfall variability as compared with non-flood prone Upazilas. They find that two members of the same household are less likely to be self-employed i ...
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Volume 89, No.1 - February 2011
is an issue of Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan. Meteorological Society of Japan, 2011
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Further Study of Typhoon Tracks and the Low-Frequency (30-60 Days) Wind-Field Pattern at 850 hPa
Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, Volume 3 Number 6. Tian Hua; Li Chong-Yin - Science Press, 2010The association of typhoon tracks over the western Pacific with the low-frequency wind-field pattern of atmospheric intraseasonal (30-60 days) oscillation at 850 hPa is further studied by using observational data analyses. Comparative analyses of the composite wind fields at 850 hPa, contrasting the atmospheric intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) with the original circulation, show that the typhoon tracks are closely related to the wind pattern of the ISO but are not obviously related to the original wind fields. Case studies of two typhoons in 2006 also show that the low-frequency wind-field patt ...
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Statistical Reconstruction of the Antarctic Oscillation Index Based on Multiple Proxies
Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, Volume 3 Number 5. Zhang Zi-Yin; Gong Dao-Yi; He Xue-Zhao; et al. - Science Press, 2010Based on multiple proxies from the Southern Hemisphere, an austral summer (December-January-February: DJF) Antarctic Oscillation Index (AAO) since 1500 A.D. was reconstructed with a focus on interannual to interdecadal variability (< 50 a). By applying a multivariate regression method, the observational AAO-proxy relations were calibrated and cross-validated for the period of 1957-89. The regressions were employed to compute the DJF-AAO index for 1500-1956. To verify the results, the authors checked the explained variance (r2), the reduction of error (RE), and the standard error (SE). Cross-va ...
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Possible Impact of the Boreal Spring Antarctic Oscillation on the North American Summer Monsoon
This study examined the relationship between the boreal spring (April-May) Antarctic Oscillation (AAO) and the North American summer monsoon (NASM) (July-September) for the period of 1979-2008. The results show that these two systems are closely related. When the spring AAO was stronger than normal, the NASM tended to be weaker, and there was less rainfall over the monsoon region. The opposite NASM situation corresponded to a weaker spring AAO. Further analysis explored the possible mechanism for the delayed impact of the boreal spring AAO on the NASM. It was found that the tropical Atlantic s ...
Report of the World Climate Conference-3 - Better climate information for a better future : Working together towards a Global Framework for Climate Services
World Meteorological Organization (WMO) ; United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO); Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC); et al. - WMO, 2009 (WMO-No. 1048)Peoples around the world are facing multi-faceted challenges of climate variability and climate change, challenges that require wise and well-informed decision-making at every level, from households and communities to countries and regions. World
Climate Conference-3 (WCC-3), held in Geneva from 31 August to 4 September 2009, considered these challenges and guided the development of an international framework for climate services that will link science-based climate prediction and information
with the management of climate-related risks and opportunities in support of adaptation ...
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The World Climate Research Programme achievements : scientific knowledge for climate adaptation, mitigation and risk management
This report illustrates the depth and breadth of observational research and analysis, modelling and synthesis, and climate projection and prediction activities that arebeing coordinated by WCRP. In addition it provides the highlights of the solid scientific foundation that WCRP has established for developing and disseminating the climate science knowledge that will be required in the ensuing decades to inform decision-makers on all aspects of mitigation, adaptation and risk management associated with climate variability and change.
World Climate Applications and Services Programme (WCASP), 79. Report of WMO conference on Living with climate variability and change : understanding the uncertainties and managing the risks
World Meteorological Organization (WMO) ; Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI); International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) - WMO, 2009 (WMO/TD-No. 1512)The WMO Conference on “Living with Climate Variability and Change: Understanding the Uncertainties and Managing the Risks” was organized to review the opportunities and constraints in integrating climate risks and uncertainties into decision-making in the core socio-economic sectors. The Conference, co-sponsored by the WMO, the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) and the International Research Institute for Climate and
Society (IRI), brought together climate scientists and user communities, to collate their experiences in managing risks of climatic origin and to build a framework fo ...
Informe de la Tercera Conferencia Mundial sobre el Clima - mejorar la información sobre el clima para un futuro mejor : trabajando unidos para establecer un marco munidal para los servicios climáticos
Organización Meteorológica Mundial (OMM); Organización de las Naciones Unidas para la Educación, la Ciencia y la Cultura (UNESCO); Comisión Oceanográfica Intergubernamental (COI); et al. - OMM, 2009 (OMM-No. 1048)Las sociedades de todo el mundo se enfrentan a los múltiples desafíos derivados de la variabilidad del clima y el cambio climático, que exigen una toma de decisiones apropiada y debidamente informada en todos los niveles, desde hogares y comunidades hasta países y regiones. La Tercera Conferencia Mundial sobre el Clima celebrada en Ginebra (Suiza), del 31 de agosto al 4 de septiembre de 2009, analizó estos desafíos y orientó el desarrollo de un marco internacional para los servicios climáticos que vinculara la información y predicción del clima con sustento científico con la gestión de riesgos ...
Rapport de la troisième Conférence mondiale sur le climat - en savoir plus sur le climat pour préparer l'avenir : mettre en place ensemble un cadre mondial pour les services climatologiques
Organisation météorologique mondiale (OMM); Organisation des Nations Unies pour l'Education, la Science et et la Culture (UNESCO); Commission Océanographique Intergouvernementale (COI); et al. - OMM, 2009 (OMM-No. 1048)Les populations du monde entier font face aux enjeux multiformes de la variabilité et de l’évolution du climat, lesquels exigent la prise de décisions avisées et éclairées à tous les niveaux, depuis les ménages et les collectivités jusqu’aux pays et aux régions. Lors de la troisième Conférence mondiale sur le climat (CMC-3), qui s’est tenue à Genève du 31 août au 4 septembre 2009, les participants ont examiné ces enjeux et défini les orientations en vue de l’élaboration d’un cadre international pour les services climatologiques qui établira un lien entre, d’une part, les activités proprement s ...
第三次世界气候大会的报告 - 利用更好的气候信息， 创造更美好的未来
世界气象组织 (WMO); United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO); Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC); et al. - 世界气象组织 (WMO), 2009 (世界气象组织 (WMO)-No. 1048)世界人民正面临着气候变率和气候变化带来的多方面挑战，这需要从每户家庭、社区、国家和区域乃至国际论坛(包括“联合国气候变化框架公约”)等各个层面作出明智的和有充分依据的决策。第三次世界气候大会(WCC-3)于2009年8月31日至9月4日在瑞士日内瓦召开,本次大会审议了上述挑战，并就建立一个国际气候服务框架提供了指导，该框架将把以科学为基础的气候预测和信息与相关的气候风险和机遇管理结合起来，以支持发达国家和发展中国家适应气候变率和变化。
تقرير مؤمتر املناخ العاملي الثالث : إطار عالمي للخدمات المناخيةالعمل معاً من أجل
المنظمة العالمية للأرصاد ; United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO); Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC); et al. - المنظمة العالمية للأرصاد, 2009 (مجموعة مطبوعات المنظمة-No. 1048)تواجه الشعوب في أنحاء العالم تحديات متعددة الجوانب تتمثل في تقلبية المناخ وتغيره، وتتطلب هذه التحديات اتخاذ القرارات بحكمة وعن حسن اطلاع على جميع المستويات، من الأسر المعيشية والمجتمعات المحلية إلى البلدان والأقاليم. وقد نظر الحاضرون في مؤتمر المناخ العالمي الثالث ) WCC-3 ( المعقود في جنيف في الفترة من 31 آب/أغسطس إلى 4 أيلول/سبتمبر 2009 ، في هذه التحديات، ووجهوا عملية وضع إطار دولي للخدمات المناخية من شأنه أن يربط التنبؤات والمعلومات المناخية العلمية الأساس بإدارة المخاطر والفرص المتصلة بالمناخ دعماً للتكيف مع تقلبية المناخ وتغيره في البلدان المتقدمة النمو والبلدان النامية على حد سواء.
Отчет Всемирной климатической конференции-3 - Улучшенная информация о климате для лучшего будущего : Работаем сообща над созданием Глобальной рамочной основы для климатического обслуживания
Народы всего мира сталкиваются с многоплановыми проблемами, обусловленными изменчивостью и изменением климата, которые требуют принятия взвешенного и информационно обоснованного принятия решений на всех уровнях от домохозяйств и общин до стран и регионов. На Всемирной климатической конференции-3(ВКК-3), проведенной в Женеве 31 августа-4 сентября 2009 г., были рассмотрены эти проблемы, и ее результаты послужили основанием для разработки международной рамочной основы для климатического обслуживания, в которой будут соединены вопросы климатических прогнозов и информации на базе научных достижений ...
Vol. 57 (2) - April 2008 - Adapting to climate variability and change
Climate change is no longer a debate: it is now a widely accepted fact. Mounting evidence indicates that the impacts of climate change are already happening and will worsen in the future, making adaptation a vital societal need. This issue of the Bulletin discusses some of the aspects involved and shows how weather-, climate- and water-related information can help.
The SIDS-Caribbean Project: Preparedness to Climate Variability and Global Change in Small Island Developing States of the Caribbean Region
The Finnish Government and the World Meteorological Organization officially launched the SIDSCaribbean Project in November 2000. The Project, initially planned to last three years, was based on the campus of the Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology in Barbados and included Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Bahamas, Barbados, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, Grenada, Guyana, Haiti, Jamaica, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles and Aruba, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Saint Lucia, Trinidad and Tobago, and Turks and Caicos Islands.
The aim of the project ...
N° 29 - Juin 2006 - Faire face aux variations et aux risques climatiques
is an issue of Nouvelles du climat mondial. OMM, 2006Contient:
- Faire face à la variabilité et à l’évolution du climat
- Temps, climat et maladies infectieuses
- L’élévation du niveau de la mer
- Le trou d’ozone 2005 entre dans les annales
- Levée des incertitudes et gestion des risques face aux changements climatiques
- COP-7 de la CCD
- Nouveaux directeurs aux questions climatiques à l’OMM
- La gestion des risques climatiques dans le secteur agricole
- Préparatifs de l’Année polaire internationale
- Les concentrations de gaz à effet de serre ont atteint de nouveaux records ...
No. 29 - June 2006 - Living with Climate Variation and Risk
is an issue of World Climate News. WMO, 2006Contents:
- Living with climate variability and change
- Climate and infectious disease risks
- Homing in on rising sea levels
- 2005 ozone hole one of largest
- Addressing uncertainties and risk management in climate change
- COP-7 of UNCCD
- New climate-related directors at WMO
- Managing climate risk in agriculture
- International Polar Year update
- Greenhouse gas concentrations reach new highs in 2004
- NewWebsite for WHYCOS
- Seasonal forecasts and risk management
- GEOSS update
- Tackling ...
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WCRP Informal/Series Report, 9/2002. Report of the fifth session of the JSC/CLIVAR Working on coupled modelling
World Meteorological Organization (WMO) ; International Council of Scientific Unions (ICSU); Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC) - WMO, 2002
Climate variability, agriculture and forestry: Towards sustainability
World Meteorological Organization (WMO) ; Desjardins R.L.; Janzen H.; et al. - WMO, 2002 (WMO-No. 928)This publication discusses the main causes of global climate variation and the direct effects of changes in atmospheric composition. Examples of increasing the adaptability of agriculture to climate variability are given, and management strategies to reduce the production of greenhouse gases from agriculture are discussed.
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WCRP Informal/Series Report, 6/2001. Report of the fourth session of the JSC/CLIVAR Working on coupled modelling
World Meteorological Organization (WMO) ; International Council of Scientific Unions (ICSU); Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC) - WMO, 2001
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WCRP Informal/Series Report, 1/2001. JSC/CLIVAR Workshop on decadal predictability
World Meteorological Organization (WMO) ; International Council of Scientific Unions (ICSU); Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC) - WMO, 2001
IRI-CW, 01/2. Coping with the climate - a way forward : summary and proposals for action
World Meteorological Organization (WMO) ; International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI); National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA); et al. - IRI, 2001This report summarizes the results of a global review of the effectiveness of the RCOFs and related activities. Through an exhaustive stakeholder driven process, drawing on the experiences of hundreds of organizations, the review has sought to identify key issues, constraints and opportunities for improving the forum process and its contribution to the management of climate variability and change. Proposals are made to advance the goals of the RCOFs to reduce vulnerability to climate variability and change in sensitive regions and sectors.
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WCRP Informal/Series Report, 1/2000. Report of the third session of the JSC/CLIVAR Working on coupled modelling
World Meteorological Organization (WMO) ; International Council of Scientific Unions (ICSU); Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC) - WMO, 2000
Lectures presented at the forty-ninth session of the WMO Executive Council
Three lectures are presented: "Climate variability and food production", "New developments in satellite observation capability and their contribution to weather forecasting" and "The use of electronic media in public weather services".
GCOS, 56. GCOS/GOOS/WCRP Ocean Observations Panel for Climate (OOPC), fourth session; WCRP CLIVAR Upper Ocean Panel (UOP), fourth session; special joint session of OOPC and UOP, Woods Hole, USA, 17-21 May 1999
World Meteorological Organization (WMO) ; United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP); International Council for Science (ICSU); et al. - IOC, 1999
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WCRP Informal/Series Report, 1/1999. Report of the second session of the JSC/CLIVAR Working on coupled modelling
World Meteorological Organization (WMO) ; International Council of Scientific Unions (ICSU); Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC) - WMO, 1999
Weather, Climate and Health
A contribution to World Meteorological Day 1999, this draws attention to the linkages between climate, weather and health, and to the role of WMO and NMHSs in contributing to a safer and healthier world. It shows how humans are vulnerable to changes in meteorological conditions, such as extreme heat or sudden cold temperatures and harmful ultraviolet radiation from the sun, and to weather events such as tropical cyclones and severe floods, which create favourable conditions for the transmission of various diseases.
WCRP, 108. Proceedings of the International CLIVAR Conference
World Meteorological Organization (WMO) ; International Council for Science (ICSU) - WMO, 1999 (WMO/TD-No. 954)
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WCRP Informal/Series Report, 3/1999. Third session of the CLIVAR goals numerical experimentation group (CLIVAR NEG-1)
World Meteorological Organization (WMO) ; International Council of Scientific Unions (ICSU); Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC) - WMO, 1999
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WCRP Informal/Series Report, 13/1998. VAMOS/PACS Workshop on field programmes - 1st session of the CLIVAR VAMOS Panel
World Meteorological Organization (WMO) ; International Council of Scientific Unions (ICSU); Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC) - WMO, 1998
WCRP, 103. CLIVAR initial implementation plan
World Meteorological Organization (WMO) ; International Council for Science (ICSU); United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) - WMO, 1998 (WMO/TD-No. 869)
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WCRP Informal/Series Report, 12/1998. Third session of the CLIVAR Upper ocean panel
World Meteorological Organization (WMO) ; International Council of Scientific Unions (ICSU); Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC) - WMO, 1998
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WCRP Informal/Series Report, 1/1998. Sixth session of the CLIVAR Scientific steering group
World Meteorological Organization (WMO) ; Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC); International Council of Scientific Unions (ICSU) - WMO, 1998
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Statement at the opening of the Joint WCRP/START/SCOWAR Workshop on Climate Variability, Water Resources and Agricultural Productivity : Food Security Issues in Tropical Sub-Saharan Africa
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WCRP Informal/Series Report, 15/1997. CLIVAR Ocean programme for DEC-CEN climate variability workshop
World Meteorological Organization (WMO) ; Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC); International Council of Scientific Unions (ICSU) - WMO, 1997
Climate variability, agriculture and forestry: an update
World Meteorological Organization (WMO) ; Desjardins R.; Jones M.B.; et al. - WMO, 1997 (WMO-No. 841)This report complements and updates Technical Note No. 196 (WMO-No. 802) and covers the impact of the following on agriculture and forestry: climate extremes, with emphasis on temperature extremes, drought and tropical cyclones; climate variability for the different main world agroclimatic zones; and the impact of agriculture and forestry on climate through trace gas emissions, as well as the sources and sinks of greenhouse gases.
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Atelier PMRC-START-SCOWAR sur la variabilité du climat, les ressources en eau et la productivité agricole : problèmes liés à la sécurité alimentaire en Afrique tropicale sub-saharienne
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