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Выпуск в Китае заблаговременных предупреждений с учетом возможных последствий и оценки рисков
Китай является одной из стран, наиболее подверженных воздействию опасных явлений. В период с 1984 по 2014 г. метеорологические опасные явления в среднем ежегодно уносили 4 066 жизней и наносили прямой экономический ущерб в размере 192,2 млрд китайских юаней (30,5 млрд долларов США), что составляет 2 % внутреннего вало- вого продукта Китая. Показатель среднегодовых убытков (отношение прямых экономических убытков к годовому ВВП) снизился наполовину – с 2,08 % в период с 1984 по 2000 г. до 1,03 % в период с 2001 по 2014 г. – благодаря повышению эффективности мер по предотвращению и смягчению посл ...[article]
in Бюллетень > Том 64(2) (2015 г.) . - p.9-12Китай является одной из стран, наиболее подверженных воздействию опасных явлений. В период с 1984 по 2014 г. метеорологические опасные явления в среднем ежегодно уносили 4 066 жизней и наносили прямой экономический ущерб в размере 192,2 млрд китайских юаней (30,5 млрд долларов США), что составляет 2 % внутреннего вало- вого продукта Китая. Показатель среднегодовых убытков (отношение прямых экономических убытков к годовому ВВП) снизился наполовину – с 2,08 % в период с 1984 по 2000 г. до 1,03 % в период с 2001 по 2014 г. – благодаря повышению эффективности мер по предотвращению и смягчению последствий. Однако этот показатель (1,03 %) в 8 раз выше, чем общемировой средний показатель (0,14 %) и в 3 раза выше, чем показатель для Соединен- ных Штатов Америки (0,36 %). Фактически показатель средних убытков в Китае превышает показатель для всех других стран, также серьезно подверженных воз- действию метеорологических опасных явлений. В этой связи в 2009 г. Китайское метеорологическое управление (КМУ) приняло решение о том, что в Китае обслужива- ние по предоставлению заблаговременных предупреж- дений нуждается в дальнейшем совершенствовании.1 2
Language(s): Russian; Other Languages: English, French, Spanish
Format: Digital (Free), Hard copyTags: Early warning systems ; China
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La Chine se dote de systèmes d’alerte précoce axés sur les impacts et sur les risques
La Chine est l’un des pays les plus durement touches par les conditions meteorologiques. Entre 1984 et 2014, ces phenomenes ont provoque en moyenne, chaque annee, la mort de 4 066 personnes et des pertes economiques directes de 192,2 milliards de yuan (30,5 milliards de dollars E. U.) – 2 % du produit interieur brut (PIB). Le coefficient de perte annuel moyen (pertes economiques directes/ PIB annuel) est passe de 2,08 % au cours de la periode 1984–2000 a 1,03 % entre 2001 et 2014, grace a l’amelioration des mesures de prevention et d’attenuation des catastrophes. Meme reduit de moitie, ce coef ...[article]Jiao Meiyan ; Song Lianchun ; Jiang Tong ; Zhang Di ; Zhai Jianqing
in Bulletin > Vol. 64(2) (2015)La Chine est l’un des pays les plus durement touches par les conditions meteorologiques. Entre 1984 et 2014, ces phenomenes ont provoque en moyenne, chaque annee, la mort de 4 066 personnes et des pertes economiques directes de 192,2 milliards de yuan (30,5 milliards de dollars E. U.) – 2 % du produit interieur brut (PIB). Le coefficient de perte annuel moyen (pertes economiques directes/ PIB annuel) est passe de 2,08 % au cours de la periode 1984–2000 a 1,03 % entre 2001 et 2014, grace a l’amelioration des mesures de prevention et d’attenuation des catastrophes. Meme reduit de moitie, ce coefficient reste huit fois plus eleve que la moyenne mondiale (0,14 %) et trois fois plus eleve qu’aux Etats-Unis d’Amerique (0,36 %). En fait, il excede celui de tous les pays qui sont aussi gravement menaces par le temps. L’Administration meteorologique chinoise (CMA) a donc decide, en 2009, qu’il convenait de renforcer les services d’alerte precoce sur le territoire national.12345
Language(s): French; Other Languages: English, Russian, Spanish
Format: Digital (Free), Hard copyTags: Early warning systems ; China
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Projection of Future Streamflow Changes in the Pearl River Basin
Global climate change is remarkably changing the climatic patterns of the Pearl River basin and are significantly impacting the hydrological processes. Projection of future climate change impacts on steamflow variation is potential to provide scientific guidelines for sustainable water resources management and effective prevention and control for flood and drought disasters. In this study, a hydrological modeling system for assessing climate change impacts on runoffin the Pearl River basin was established and were used to simulate historical hydrological process and to project future streamflo ...Published by: Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology ; 2016
Global climate change is remarkably changing the climatic patterns of the Pearl River basin and are significantly impacting the hydrological processes. Projection of future climate change impacts on steamflow variation is potential to provide scientific guidelines for sustainable water resources management and effective prevention and control for flood and drought disasters. In this study, a hydrological modeling system for assessing climate change impacts on runoffin the Pearl River basin was established and were used to simulate historical hydrological process and to project future streamflow variations under certain emission scenarios. Subsequently, the impacts of different delta-change methods on the projected changes in future streamflow were quantified. Furthermore, a bootstrapping resample approach was developed to test the significance of changes of streamflow variability and extremes in response to future climate change.
Notes: If you wish to download the full text, please contact the author (yinyinsan86(at)gmail.com) or library(at)wmo.int (Please replace (at) by @).
Language(s): English
Format: DigitalTags: Climate change ; Flood forecasting ; Research ; Thesis - WMO Fellowship Division ; China
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Analysis of aerosol optical depth (AOD) retrieved from light detection and ranging (LIDAR) and sunphotometer measurements
Aerosols are small, micrometer-sized particles, whose optical effects coupled with their impact on cloud properties is a source of large uncertainty in climate models. Aerosols when inhaled are believed to have significant and detrimental effects on human health. Their presence also affects photosynthesis and agricultural production. Aerosol measurements are urgently required for the complete understanding and modeling their role in the climate system. This study builds on the analysis of Aerosol Optical depth (AOD) using Light Detection and Ranging (LIDAR) and sun photometer measurements then ...Analysis of aerosol optical depth (AOD) retrieved from light detection and ranging (LIDAR) and sunphotometer measurements
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Published by: Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology ; 2016
Aerosols are small, micrometer-sized particles, whose optical effects coupled with their impact on cloud properties is a source of large uncertainty in climate models. Aerosols when inhaled are believed to have significant and detrimental effects on human health. Their presence also affects photosynthesis and agricultural production. Aerosol measurements are urgently required for the complete understanding and modeling their role in the climate system. This study builds on the analysis of Aerosol Optical depth (AOD) using Light Detection and Ranging (LIDAR) and sun photometer measurements then compare the AOD measured by the two systems. Passive (sunphotmetry) and active (lidar) measurements were employed to retrieve extensive optical signals (AOD and extinction coefficient respectively) and compared the optical coherency of these retrievals over a variety of aerosol in Pukou, Nanjing. Data for the year 2013 collected by both instruments were analyzed and compared at 532nm. The retrievals were performed using an existing deconvolution method applied to the sun photometry data and an algorithm based on Klett inversion method. Results of the lidar measurements showed that the AOD variations at different time intervals were mainly high at noon time. Differences and similarities in the AOD data trend were observed but generally, AOD value calculated from Lidar data are higher than that calculated from sunphotometer measurements.
Notes: If you wish to download the full text, please contact the author (mahi92.saleh(at)gmail.com) or library(at)wmo.int (Please replace (at) by @).
Language(s): English
Format: DigitalTags: Aerosols ; Measure ; Meteorological instrument ; Research ; China ; Thesis - WMO Fellowship Division
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Aerosol Measurement by Raman Lidar
This paper examines the aerosol extinction coefficient profiles measured by Rayleigh-Raman-Mie-Lidar (RRML) system in Nanjing, China. I introduced two lidars methods (Raman and Fernald) and detection principle, and two lidars data Using Raman analysis method and Fernald analysis method to obtained aerosol extinction coefficient. Aerosol profiles at 607 nm and 532 nm over ranges from 6 km to 10 km were obtained using respectively Raman lidar and Rayleigh lidar in Nanjing.Published by: Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology ; 2016
This paper examines the aerosol extinction coefficient profiles measured by Rayleigh-Raman-Mie-Lidar (RRML) system in Nanjing, China. I introduced two lidars methods (Raman and Fernald) and detection principle, and two lidars data Using Raman analysis method and Fernald analysis method to obtained aerosol extinction coefficient. Aerosol profiles at 607 nm and 532 nm over ranges from 6 km to 10 km were obtained using respectively Raman lidar and Rayleigh lidar in Nanjing.
Notes: If you wish to download the full text, please contact the author (dadjataro(at)gmail.com) or library(at)wmo.int (Please replace (at) by @).
Language(s): English
Format: DigitalTags: Aerosols ; Measure ; Remote sensing ; Meteorology ; Research ; China ; Thesis - WMO Fellowship Division
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China’s Implementation of Impact and Risk-based Early Warning
China is one of the countries most affected by meteorological hazards. From 1984 to 2014, on average per annum meteorological hazards caused 4 066 deaths and 192.2 billion Chinese Yuan Renminbi (CNY, US$ 30.5 billion) direct economic losses – 2% of the Chinese Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The annual average loss ratio (direct economic losses/annual GDP) halved from 2.08% from 1984 to 2000 to 1.03% from 2001 to 2014, thanks to improved disaster prevention and mitigation measures. That 1.03% ratio is still 8 times higher than the global average (0.14%) and 3 times higher than that of the United ...Permalink![]()
The emerging economies and climate change : a case study of the BASIC grouping
Bidwai P. - Transnational Institute, 2014Among the most dramatic and far-reaching geopolitical developments of the post-Cold War era is the shift in the locus of global power away from the West with the simultaneous emergence as major powers of former colonies and other countries in the South, which were long on the periphery of international capitalism. As they clock rapid GDP growth, these “emerging economies” are trying to assert their new identities and interests in a variety of ways. These include a demand for reforming the structures of global governance and the United Nations system (especially the Security Council) and the fo ...PermalinkPermalinkPermalink![]()
WMO Fellowships: Enhancing Practical Forecasting Skills
Two fundamental requirements for effective running of the World Weather Watch (WWW) are adequacy of human resources and of physical infrastructure. When the WWW was established in the 1960s, these two requirements formed the most important obstacles for WMO and its partners to deliver an efficient and effective cooperation framework for global weather monitoring. Since the inception of the WWW, WMO has cooperated with diverse partners in order to respond to the human resources needs of developing countries through its Education and Training Programme. Through strategic interventions considerab ...Permalink![]()
The year of recurring disasters: a review of natural disasters in 2012
This report examines four topics: (i) disasters in 2012, with a focus on recurring disasters; (ii) the role of regional organizations in disaster risk management; (iii) wildfires; and (iv) the important role of women in disaster risk management. It highlights the value given by governments and other actors in working together to prevent disasters and, to a lesser extent, to respond to disasters occurring in the region. It also features the development of strong regional initiatives and different mechanisms for encouraging collaboration, including frameworks for disaster risk reduction, regiona ...Permalink![]()
Cost benefit studies on disaster risk reduction in developing countries
Shyam K.C.; Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery, the ; World Bank the - World Bank, 2013This note briefly surveys existing evidence in developing countries with regard to the benefits and costs of various disaster risk reduction interventions so as to provide some general lessons for disaster risk reduction (DRR) practitioners on the strengths and limitations of such existing work. In doing so, the note examines evidence on the economics of DRR in developing countries.
The note begins by providing a comparative guideline for analysis. This is followed by a summary diagnostic of seventeen case studies along five key dimensions comprising the guideline as follows: ( ...Permalink![]()
Policy and institutions in adaptation to climate change: case study on tree crop diversity in China, Nepal, and Pakistan
ICIMOD, 2013This document presents the results of a case study carried out in China, Nepal, and Pakistan which reviews the use of trees for agricultural diversification by communities in response to climate-related stresses as part of a larger project documenting local adaptation strategies to climate-induced water stress and hazards in the Hindu Kush Himalayan region. The document is comprised of six main sections: (i) section one introduces the environmental background of the region, the policies regarding sustainable agroforestry currently in place, and the objectives of the study; (ii) section two exp ...Permalink![]()
Managing flood risks in the Hindu Kush Himalayas
ICIMOD, 2013This paper discusses flood risk in the Hindu Kush Himalayan (HKH) region and the involvement of the International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development (ICIMOD) in mitigating that risk. The paper specifically encourages the importance of flood forecasting with satellite imagery, infrastructure planning, and data sharing among the eight regional countries: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, China, India, Myanmar, Nepal, and Pakistan.Permalink![]()
Validation of NOAA CPC_RFE2.0 satellite-based rainfall estimates in the central himalayas
Shrestha Mandira Singh; International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development (ICIMOD) - ICIMOD, 2013This publication addresses the vulnerability of the Hindu Kush Himalayan region to many types of hazards, and especially to floods and landslides. As part of a project aimed at strengthening regional cooperation in flood forecasting and information exchange, and building capacity among partner institutions, it presents the findings of a detailed assessment of the accuracy of NOAA CPC_RFE2.0 satellite rainfall estimates over the central Himalayas of Nepal. The results indicate that the overall spatial detection and trends are good, and with appropriate bias correction.
The repor ...Permalink