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The impact of climate change on global tropical storm damages
This paper constructs an integrated assessment model of tropical cyclones in order to quantify the impact that climate change may have on tropical cyclone damages in countries around the world. The paper relies on a tropical cyclone generator in each ocean and several climate models to predict tropical cyclones with and without climate change. A damage model is constructed to compute the resulting damage when a cyclone strikes each country. Economic development is expected to double global tropical cyclone damages because more will be in harm's way. Climate change is expected to double global ...
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Available online: http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/WDSContentServer/WDSP/IB/2011/11/0 [...]
Published by: World Bank ; 2011
This paper constructs an integrated assessment model of tropical cyclones in order to quantify the impact that climate change may have on tropical cyclone damages in countries around the world. The paper relies on a tropical cyclone generator in each ocean and several climate models to predict tropical cyclones with and without climate change. A damage model is constructed to compute the resulting damage when a cyclone strikes each country. Economic development is expected to double global tropical cyclone damages because more will be in harm's way. Climate change is expected to double global damage again, causing an additional $54 billion of damage per year. The damage is projected to be concentrated in North America and eastern Asia but many Caribbean islands will suffer the highest damages per unit of GDP. Most of the increased damage will be caused by rare but very powerful storms.
Language(s): English
Format: Digital (Free)Tags: Natural hazards ; Tropical cyclone ; Climate projection ; Climate change ; Modelling ; Cyclone forecast ; Region IV - North America, Central America and the Caribbean ; North America ; Region II - Asia ; Region V - South-West Pacific
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Challenges in Estimating and Understanding Recent Changes in the Frequency and Intensity of Extreme Climate and Weather Events
This paper briefly reviews some aspects of the current status of research on changes in climate extremes, identifying gaps and issues that warrant additional work. This paper focuses primarily on the historical instrumental record, giving a sense of the nature of the results that have been obtained, challenges that arise from observational, methodological and climate modelling uncertainties and discussing the extent to which detection and attribution research has been able to link observed changes to external forcing of the climate system. It also very briefly discusses projections for the 21s ...
Challenges in Estimating and Understanding Recent Changes in the Frequency and Intensity of Extreme Climate and Weather Events
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World Meteorological Organization (WMO) ; L.V. Alexander ; Gabriele C. Hegerl ; T.R. Knutson ; P. Naveau ; N. Nicholls ; C. Schar ; S.I. Seneviratne ; X. Zhang
Published by: WMO ; 2011This paper briefly reviews some aspects of the current status of research on changes in climate extremes, identifying gaps and issues that warrant additional work. This paper focuses primarily on the historical instrumental record, giving a sense of the nature of the results that have been obtained, challenges that arise from observational, methodological and climate modelling uncertainties and discussing the extent to which detection and attribution research has been able to link observed changes to external forcing of the climate system. It also very briefly discusses projections for the 21st century. Extremes are not discussed on paleo time scales, in the context of the present (i.e., short term forecasting), or in the context of climate surprises (extreme tipping points). These choices reflect our desire not to attempt too broad a review of the topic due to space constraints of this short paper, as well as a view that very high priority should be given to reducing uncertainty in our understanding of historical changes in extremes over the instrumental period as a prerequisite to confidently predicting changes over the next century. This includes the development of improved and comprehensive observational records, improvement in our ability to confidently detect changes in observations through the development of better physical models, forcing data sets and more power statistical techniques, the development and refinement of our understanding of the physical processes that produce extremes, and continued improvement in our ability to attribute causes to those changes. This does not imply that research on extremes on paleo timescales or on the projection of future changes in extremes is of lesser importance, but rather that overall progress on understanding implications of ongoing and future changes in extremes will be strongly dependent upon our ability to document and understand changes in extremes during the period of history that has been (and continues to be) most comprehensively and directly observed.
Language(s): English
Format: Digital (Free)Tags: Climate ; Climate prediction ; Climate projection ; Extreme weather event
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Weather, climate and water in the information age
The spectacular achievements made in weather forecasting, climate prediction and water assessments over the past few years have been underpinned by progress in telecommunications and information technologies. This booklet looks at these technologies and how they are applied for human benefit in the areas of weather forecasting, climate projections, natural disaster preparedness-and mitigation, water management, the environment, human health and energy.
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Available online: Full text
Published by: WMO ; 2004
The spectacular achievements made in weather forecasting, climate prediction and water assessments over the past few years have been underpinned by progress in telecommunications and information technologies. This booklet looks at these technologies and how they are applied for human benefit in the areas of weather forecasting, climate projections, natural disaster preparedness-and mitigation, water management, the environment, human health and energy.
Collection(s) and Series: WMO - No. 970 > World Meteorological Day Booklets
Language(s): English; Other Languages: French, Russian, Spanish
Format: Digital (Free), Hard copy (ill.)ISBN (or other code): 978-92-63-10970-5
Purchase at: http://www.wmo.int/e-catalog/detail_en.php?PUB_ID=111&SORT=N&q=
Tags: Information management ; Weather forecasting ; Climate projection ; Disaster prevention and preparedness ; Water management ; General information publications ; WMO Events' Publications
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Available online: Full text
Published by: BMO ; 2004
Collection(s) and Series: BMO - No. 970 > Брошюры по Всемирному метеорологическому дню
Language(s): Russian; Other Languages: English, French, Spanish
Format: Digital (Free), Hard copy (ill.)ISBN (or other code): 978-92-63-40970-6
Purchase at: http://www.wmo.int/e-catalog/detail_ru.php?PUB_ID=111
Tags: Information management ; Weather forecasting ; Climate projection ; Disaster prevention and preparedness ; Water management ; WMO Events' Publications
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Published by: OMM ; 2004
Collection(s) and Series: OMM - No. 970 > Folletos del Día Meteorológico Mundial
Language(s): Spanish; Other Languages: English, French, Russian
Format: Digital (Free), Hard copy (ill.)ISBN (or other code): 978-92-63-30970-9
Purchase at: http://www.wmo.int/e-catalog/detail_es.php?PUB_ID=111
Tags: Information management ; Weather forecasting ; Climate projection ; Disaster prevention and preparedness ; Water management ; WMO Events' Publications
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IPCC Special Report. The Regional Impacts of Climate Change: An Assessment of Vulnerability : summary for Policymakers
The Special Report explores the potential consequences of changes in climate for ten continental- or subcontinentalscale regions. Because of the uncertainties associated with
regional projections of climate change, the report necessarily takes the approach of assessing sensitivities and vulnerabilities of each region, rather than attempting to provide quantitative predictions of the impacts of climate change. As in the SAR, “vulnerability” is the extent to which climate change may damage or harm a system; it is a function of both sensitivity to climate and the ability to adapt to new co ...
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Rapport spécial du GIEC. Incidences de l'évolution du climat dans les régions: Evaluation de la vulnérabilité : résumé à l'intention des décideurs
Organisation météorologique mondiale (OMM); Zinyowera Marufu C.; Moss Richard H.; et al. - GIEC, 1997Le présent rapport examine les conséquences éventuelles de l'évolution du climat dans dix régions continentales et sous-continentales. Les incertitudes entourant les prévisions régionales des changements climatiques ont contraint les auteurs à évaluer la sensibilité et
la vulnérabilité de chaque région, plutôt que de tenter de chiffrer les incidences prévues. Comme dans le SAR, la vulnérabilité définit la mesure dans laquelle l'évolution du climat risque d'endommager un système quelconque ou de lui nuire; elle est fonction de sa sensibilité au climat et de sa capacité à s'adapter à de n ...
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DRIAS - Les futurs du climat
Driasles futurs du climat a pour vocation de mettre à disposition des projections climatiques régionalisées réalisées dans les laboratoires français de modélisation du climat (IPSL, CERFACS, CNRM-GAME). Les informations climatiques sont délivrées sous différentes formes graphiques ou numériques.
Driasles futurs du climat propose une démarche d’appropriation en trois étapes : l’Espace Accompagnement présente un guide d’utilisation et de bonnes pratiques pour les projections climatiques. L’Espace Découverte permet d’appréhender l’information suivant différents axes, les modèles, l ...
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