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Communicating Climate Change Scenarios With Decision Makers: Lecture by Dr. Holly Hartmann, Research Hydrologist
In this 1-hour lecture, presented in three parts, research hydrologist Dr. Holly Hartmann discusses issues and approaches for communicating with decision-makers regarding climate change topics in water management and planning. Dr. Hartmann is a national leader in research related to the development of decision support tools for climate, water, and other resource management applications, especially linking research with the needs of decision-makers and moving research into agency operations. Dr. Hartmann is Carpe Diem West’s Director of Climate Science Applications. Previously she was Director ...
Overview of Watershed and Channel Sedimentation
This lesson provides an overview of the primary influences of watershed and channel sedimentation. In a short narrated portion of the lesson, we explore a section of the Rio Grande watershed and channel in New Mexico using Google Earth imagery, river profiles, and graphic animations. We highlight features of the upland catchments, the river channel, and the Elephant Butte Reservoir. We then demonstrate how environmental factors (climate, geography, land use changes, reservoirs) impact the supply and movement of sediments for the Rio Grande and other rivers. The focus is on the three primary pr ...
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Creación de capacidad en la evaluación de modelos y en el apoyo a la toma de decisiones del CORDEX
Los informes de evaluación del clima en los ámbitos estatal, nacional e internacional son importantes a la hora de ofrecer una base científica que permita comprender y evaluar los impactos de la variabilidad climática y del cambio climático en sectores económicos tales como la agricultura y la alimentación, los recursos hídricos, la energía y el transporte.
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Vol.55 No.6 - 16 November 2012 - Climate change and projection special issue
is an issue of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters. Science Press, 2012
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Building model evaluation and decision support capacity for CORDEX
State, national and international climate assessment reports are important to provide a scientific basis for the understanding and assessment of impacts of climate variability and change on economic sectors such as agriculture and food, water resources, energy and transport.
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Vol. 90A - February 2012 - Special issue on recent development on climate models and future climate projections
is an issue of Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan. Meteorological Society of Japan, 2012
Preparing Hydro-climate Inputs for Climate Change in Water Resource Planning
This lesson describes the process of selecting the best available climate projection information and using it to develop “climate-adjusted weather” inputs to be used for modeling climate change impacts. These modeled impacts can be used for planning of future water resources. Specific steps of this process include: 1) Recognizing the general science and terms associated with Atmosphere-ocean General Circulation Models (AOGCMs); 2) Making AOGCMs more regionally applicable through bias correction and downscaling; 3) Determining climate change scenarios based on climate projections and selecting ...
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Multi-model climate change projections for India under representative concentration pathways: In Current Science, vol.103, issue 7 (10/10/2012)
Climate projections for the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) are made using the newly developed representative concentration pathways (RCPs) under the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project 5 (CMIP5). This article provides multi-model and multi-scenario temperature and precipitation projections for India for the period 1860–2099 based on the new climate data. We find that CMIP5 ensemble mean climate is closer to observed climate than any individual model. The key findings of this study are: (i) under the business-asusual (between RCP6.0 and RCP8.5 ...
Southern African rainfall physical mechanisms and projected Climate Change with a special focus on Zimbabwe
Aimed at understanding the physical mechanisms driving rainfall systems in southern Africa with a particular focus on Zimbabwe, this research is a step towards improving the representation of those systems in Climate Models leading to improved Rainfall projections. Because RCMs such as PRECIS are good at resolving subtle systems which modify local climates and possibly mask the anticipated anthropogenic induced (rainfall) change, its use in regions such as Zimbabwe that have complex terrain is crucial. Understanding the physical mechanisms that control rainfall in the current climate also prov ...
Capturing Recent Climate Variations in the Extreme Southern Caribbean with Projections for the Near and Medium Terms: A Downscaling Approach for Trinidad and Tobago
To mitigate adverse effects of future extremes in climate in the extreme southern Caribbean and Trinidad and Tobago require a sound understanding of the science of the climate, along with realistic and region specific projection outputs; in order that an effective response can be provided by respective regions. As a step towards achieving this, downscaling GCM outputs through RCMs is useful at the local and regional scales because it can provide finer detailed and more user friendly output required for planning. Moreover, it is an avenue through which more profound understanding of the ...
Lesotho Climate Change Projections
Lesotho is a small mountainous country is southern Africa. Lesotho is a temperate region that has four distinct seasons; spring, summer, autumn and winter. It is among countries that are vulnerable to climate change impacts. As such, future climate projections are vital to the country. Lesotho has submitted her first and the only report (FNC) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in 2000. The report includes vulnerability and adaptation (V&A) assessment developed using the first generation low resolution Global Climate Models (GCMs) output. This study was aimed ...
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How good are current climate models for predicting agricultural impacts in Africa and South Asia? - Video seminar
CCAFS, 2012
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Testing Climate Models for Agricultural Impacts : recent Trends, Current Projections, Crop-Climate Suitability, and Prospects for Improved Climate Model Information
CCAFS, 2012Good climate projections for agriculture can help guide investments in risk management and adaptation. New reports offer insights into the reliability of future climate projections for agriculture, and show how to make the most of current data.
How trees and people can co-adapt to climate change : reducing vulnerability in multifunctional landscapes
In this section we provide a more in-depth look at the role trees play in the provision of goods and services in multifunctional landscapes. Tree growth is, however, vulnerable to climate variability, depending on the physiological properties of the tree and characteristics of the site. A further quantification of climate variability and climate change is needed to advise on what types of trees can be grown where, to be ready for the likely local climate-change during their lifetime. This leads to a discussion of the two-way relationship between climate change adaptation and rewards for enviro ...
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Climate: observations, projections and impacts
The Met.Office, 2011Understanding the potential impacts of climate change is essential for informing both adaptation strategies and actions to avoid dangerous levels of climate change.
But assessing the impacts is scientifically challenging and has, until now, been fragmented. To date, only a limited amount of information about past climate change and its future impacts has been available at national level, while approaches to the science itself have varied between countries.
In April 2011, we were asked by the United Kingdom's Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change to begi ...
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The impact of climate change on global tropical storm damages
This paper constructs an integrated assessment model of tropical cyclones in order to quantify the impact that climate change may have on tropical cyclone damages in countries around the world. The paper relies on a tropical cyclone generator in each ocean and several climate models to predict tropical cyclones with and without climate change. A damage model is constructed to compute the resulting damage when a cyclone strikes each country. Economic development is expected to double global tropical cyclone damages because more will be in harm's way. Climate change is expected to double global ...
Challenges in Estimating and Understanding Recent Changes in the Frequency and Intensity of Extreme Climate and Weather Events
This paper briefly reviews some aspects of the current status of research on changes in climate extremes, identifying gaps and issues that warrant additional work. This paper focuses primarily on the historical instrumental record, giving a sense of the nature of the results that have been obtained, challenges that arise from observational, methodological and climate modelling uncertainties and discussing the extent to which detection and attribution research has been able to link observed changes to external forcing of the climate system. It also very briefly discusses projections for the 21s ...
Weather, climate and water in the information age
The spectacular achievements made in weather forecasting, climate prediction and water assessments over the past few years have been underpinned by progress in telecommunications and information technologies. This booklet looks at these technologies and how they are applied for human benefit in the areas of weather forecasting, climate projections, natural disaster preparedness-and mitigation, water management, the environment, human health and energy.
IPCC Special Report. The Regional Impacts of Climate Change: An Assessment of Vulnerability : summary for Policymakers
The Special Report explores the potential consequences of changes in climate for ten continental- or subcontinentalscale regions. Because of the uncertainties associated with
regional projections of climate change, the report necessarily takes the approach of assessing sensitivities and vulnerabilities of each region, rather than attempting to provide quantitative predictions of the impacts of climate change. As in the SAR, “vulnerability” is the extent to which climate change may damage or harm a system; it is a function of both sensitivity to climate and the ability to adapt to new co ...
Rapport spécial du GIEC. Incidences de l'évolution du climat dans les régions: Evaluation de la vulnérabilité : résumé à l'intention des décideurs
Organisation météorologique mondiale (OMM); Zinyowera Marufu C.; Moss Richard H.; et al. - GIEC, 1997Le présent rapport examine les conséquences éventuelles de l'évolution du climat dans dix régions continentales et sous-continentales. Les incertitudes entourant les prévisions régionales des changements climatiques ont contraint les auteurs à évaluer la sensibilité et
la vulnérabilité de chaque région, plutôt que de tenter de chiffrer les incidences prévues. Comme dans le SAR, la vulnérabilité définit la mesure dans laquelle l'évolution du climat risque d'endommager un système quelconque ou de lui nuire; elle est fonction de sa sensibilité au climat et de sa capacité à s'adapter à de n ...
DRIAS - Les futurs du climat
Driasles futurs du climat a pour vocation de mettre à disposition des projections climatiques régionalisées réalisées dans les laboratoires français de modélisation du climat (IPSL, CERFACS, CNRM-GAME). Les informations climatiques sont délivrées sous différentes formes graphiques ou numériques.
Driasles futurs du climat propose une démarche d’appropriation en trois étapes : l’Espace Accompagnement présente un guide d’utilisation et de bonnes pratiques pour les projections climatiques. L’Espace Découverte permet d’appréhender l’information suivant différents axes, les modèles, l ...
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Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters 
