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PWS-SG, 01. Communicating Forecast Uncertainty
This summary guide is for forecasters who are required to include uncertainty information in weather and climate forecasts and want to know the best way to present it. It provides advice on communicating probability forecasts, or other kinds of uncertainty information.
PWS-SG, 02. Communication, public eduction and outreach
This summary guide is for managers of forecast operations of National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs). It is designed to help you make your services understood by the public, and to engage with the community so that they better understand what you do.
PWS, 19. Servicios meteorológicos e hidrológicos nacionales, sus asociados y comunidades de usuarios : (actividad complementaria del Plan de Acción de Madrid para mejorar los beneficios sociales y económicos de los servicios meteorológicos, climáticos e hidrológico)
^Este informe se ha preparado para consolidar el Plan de Acción de Madrid (PAM) resultante de la Conferencia Internacional de la OMM sobre condiciones de vida seguras y sostenibles: beneficios sociales y económicos de los servicios meteorológicos, climáticos e hidrológicos, celebrada en Madrid (España), del 19 al 22 de marzo de 2007, conocida también como Conferencia de Madrid. El informe se presenta en tres partes y cuatro apéndices. La primera sección, parte I del informe, se refiere a la Conferencia de Madrid y al PAM. Se analizan las acciones del PAM y se formulan propuestas sobre las form ...
PWS, 19. Les services météorologiques et hydrologiques nationaux, leurs partenaires et leur clientèle : (Suivi du Plan d’action de Madrid: comment promouvoir les avantages socio-économiques des services météorologiques, climatologiques et hydrologiques)
Le présent rapport a été rédigé pour faire suite au Plan d’action de Madrid issu de la Conférence internationale organisée par l’OMM à Madrid (Espagne), du 19 au 22 mars 2007, sous le titre: «Sécurité et avenir de l’humanité: avantages socio-économiques des services météorologiques, climatologiques et hydrologiques», également connue sous le nom de Conférence de Madrid. Il est articulé en trois parties et quatre appendices. La première partie du rapport se réfère à la Conférence et au Plan d’action de Madrid. Elle propose une analyse des actions énoncées dans le plan ainsi que des propositions ...
WWRP, 04. WWRP 2010-4 - 2nd WMO International Workshop on Tropical Landfall Processes (IWTCLP-II)
Severe calamities and fatalities have arisen from landfalling tropical cyclones (TC) around the world in recent years, such as Morakot (August 2009) in western North Pacific, Nargis (May 2008) in Bay of Bengal, Gonu (June 2007) in North Arabian Sea, Bilis (July 2006) in western North Pacific, Katrina (August 2005) in Gulf of Mexico, and Catarina (March 2004) in South Atlantic etc. Transferring the advancements from the research community to operational forecast centers in NMHSs would be helpful for improving the landfalling tropical cyclone (LTC) forecasts and for mitigation of high-impact tro ...
PWS, 19. National Meteorological and Hydrological Services, Their Partners and User Communities : (Follow-up to the Madrid Action Plan - for Improved Social and Economic Benefits of Weather, Climate and Water Services)
This report has been prepared to build upon the Madrid Action Plan (MAP) that resulted from the WMO International Conference on Secure and Sustainable Living: Social and Economic Benefits of Weather, Climate and Water Services, Madrid, Spain, 19-22 March 2007, which is also known as the Madrid Conference. The report is presented in three parts and four appendices. The first section, Part I of the report relates to the Madrid Conference and the MAP. The MAP actions are analysed and proposals are made regarding the ways that both National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs) and the ...
PWS, 21. Guidelines on early warning systems and application of nowcasting and warning operations
In 2010, a historic heat wave and numerous wildfires impacted Moscow and surrounding areas in the Russian Federation. At the same time, catastrophic flooding from unusually heavy monsoon rains was ongoing in Pakistan. Both events led to many fatalities and considerable human suffering. As climate change due to anthropogenic forcing continues, extreme weather events such as these are likely to become more common (IPCC 2007), further increasing the need for preparedness and early warning systems.
The need for robust early warning systems goes beyond purely natural disasters and extend ...
Sixty ways WMO makes a difference
This sixtieth anniversary commemorative booklet spells out 60 ways that WMO makes a difference in peoples' lives. It illustrates the critical role that WMO and the NMHSs of its 189 Members play in numerous economic sectors and in maintaining a harmonious balance in nature. The rapid advances in information and space technologies have greatly helped in improving the forecasting ability of the meteorological community.
Наставление по Глобальной системе обработкиданных и прогнозирования: Том I — Глобальные аспекты, Том II — Региональные аспект
BMO, 2010
Role of NMHSs in adaptation to climate variability and change : (Analysis report of a survey)
To understand better the role of NMHSs in adaptation at national level, the Climate Prediction and Adaptation Branch (CLPA) has conducted, for the first time, an online survey to gather this information for the benefit of the NMHSs and the people and institutions that they serve.
Soixante actions concrètes de l'OMM
La présente brochure publiée à l'occasion du soixantième anniversaire de l'Organisation énumère 60 actions concrètes menées par l'OMM pour protéger et faciliter la vie des gens. Elle évoque le rôle essentiel que l'OMM et les SMHN de ses 189 Membres jouent dans de nombreux secteurs économiques comme dans le maintien d'un équilibre harmonieux du milieu naturel. Le progrès rapide des technologies de l'information et des techniques spatiales a grandement concouru au renforcement des capacités de prévision de la communauté météorologique.Secure and Sustainable Living - The Findings of the International Conference on Secure and Sustainable Living : social and Economic Benefits of Weather, Climate and Water Services
This publication is expected to assist in augmentation of socio-economic policy issues related to the generation and use of weather, climate and water related information and services. It is derived from the outcome of the International Conference on 'Secure and Sustainable Living: Social and Economic Benefits of Weather, Climate and Water Services' that took place in Madrid, Spain from 19 to 22 March 2007.
Strengthening the Hydrometeorological Services in South Eastern Europe : south Eastern Europe Disaster Risk Mitigation and Adaptation Programme
World Meteorological Organization (WMO) ; United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction (UN/ISDR); World Bank the; et al. - UN/ISDR, 2008The assessment presented here was undertaken within the scope of the South Eastern Europe Disaster Risk Mitigation and Adaptation Programme (SEEDRMAP). SEEDRMAP is a collaborative initiative developed by the World Bank and the secretariat of the United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction (UNISDR), together with the European Commission, the Council of Europe, the Council of Europe Development Bank, the World Meteorological Organization, the Finnish Meteorological Institute and other partners.
SEEDRMAP’s objective is to reduce the vulnerability of the countries ...
Capacity Assessment of National Meteorological and Hydrological Services in Support of Disaster Risk Reduction : analysis of the 2006 WMO Disaster Risk Reduction Country-level Survey
In 2006, WMO conducted a national survey to benchmark existing capacities, gaps and needs of its Members for development of meteorological, hydrological and climate –related information to support disaster risk reduction. The national survey, addressed capacities of NMHSs to contribute to all aspects of disaster risk reduction including risk identification, sectoral planning, early warning system, education and knowledge sharing. Of the 187 members of WMO at the time, 139 (74%) countries participated in this survey.
The regional survey addressed regional capacities and partnerships that ...
WWRP/THORPEX, 11. WWRP/THORPEX African Implementation Plan
THORPEX is a ten year international research and development programme under the WMO World Weather Research Programme (WWRP) to accelerate improvements in accuracy of 1 day to 2 weeks high-impact weather forecasts and realize related benefits for society, the economy and the environment.
This document is designed to capitalize and improve upon existing and planned research and development programmes that contribute to WWRP/THORPEX objectives for Africa.
Observing our planet for a better future
Theme of the World Meteorological Day 2008, this booklet raises awareness of the public and decision-makers on weather, climate and water to lead to an increasing concern about the degradation of the environment, the more frequent occurrences of natural disasters with projected climate change and the impacts on human survival and well-being.
This publication will be useful to decision-makers, financial experts and emergency response managers, currently in the process of implementing and upgrading their respective observing systems, especially their end-toend multi-hazard early ...
Observar nuestro planeta para un futuro mejor
El Consejo Ejecutivo de la OMM decidió, en su 58 a reunión (Ginebra, 20-30 de junio de 2006), que el tema del Día Meteorológico Mundial de 2008 fuese “Observar nuestro planeta para un futuro mejor”, reconociendo así los beneficios científicos y socioeconómicos que los Miembros de la OMM y sus Servicios Meteorológicos e Hidrológicos Nacionales han obtenido de las observaciones ampliadas, variadas y autorizadas llevadas a cabo en el contexto del mandato de la OMM en el ámbito del tiempo, el clima y el agua.N°34 - Avril 2007 - Météo-France acteur du climat
is an issue of Atmosphériques. Météo France, 2007
Weather, Climate and Water Services for Everyone
A brochure for use by NMHSs in distributing to, and informing, the user community about public weather services.Agricultural Meteorology Programme (AgMP), 102. Use Of Seasonal Forecasts And Climate Prediction In Operational Agriculture
World Meteorological Organization (WMO) ; Kanga A.; Magrin Graciela O.; et al. - WMO, 2007 (WMO/TD-No. 1344)The Commission for Agricultural Meteorology (CAgM) at its 12 th Session held in Accra, Ghana, 18-26 February 1999, established the Working Group on the Use of Seasonal Forecasts Climate Prediction in Operational Agriculture. The Terms of Reference of the Working Group are:
a) In liaison with the CLIPS project, review and summarise the current advances in seasonal forecasts and climate prediction and the products and services relevant to agriculture that are becoming available based on the forecasts
b) To survey and summarise, using appropriate case studies, the current applicat ...
PWS, 15. Guidelines on capacity building strategies in Public Weather Services
Weather affects virtually every person on the planet, every day of the year. Consequently information on past, present and future weather conditions plays an important part in planning our daily lives. Although the provision of weather and climate information to the community at large has long been one of the main responsibilities of the National Meteorological Services (NMHSs) of the now 188 Member States and Territories of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), it is only during the past decade that most NMHSs have begun to focus their efforts on the provision of the highest possible ...Improved seasonal climate forecasts of the South Asian summer monsoon using a suite of 13 coupled ocean-atmosphere models
Several modeling studies have shown that the south Asian monsoon region has the lowest skill for seasonal forecasts compared with many other domains of the world. This paper demonstrates that a multimodel synthetic superensemble approach, when constructed with any set of coupled atmosphere-ocean models, can provide improved skill in seasonal climate prediction compared with single-member models or their ensemble mean for the south Asian summer monsoon region. However, performance of the superensemble tends to improve when a better set of input member models are used. As many as 13 state-of-the ...
Operational hydrology report (OHR), 49. Guidelines on the role, operation and management of National Hydrological Services
Providing guidance to the senior managers of Hydrological Services, on the key issues they might face, as they lead, manage and administer their services. All aspects of management are reviewed: strategic planning, human resources management, financial management, marketing, asset management, process and quality management, relationships with other institutions. This publication is especially important at a time when NHSs worldwide are typically having their mandate expanded from basic hydrology to hydrology in the broader context of sustainable water resources management.Seasonal prediction of sea surface temperatures anomalies using a suite of 13 coupled atmosphere-ocean models
Improved seasonal prediction of sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies over the global oceans is the theme of this paper. Using 13 state-of-the-art coupled global atmosphere-ocean models and 13 yr of seasonal forecasts, the performance of individual models, the ensemble mean, the bias-removed ensemble mean, and the Florida State University (FSU) superensemble are compared. A total of 23 400 seasonal forecasts based on 1-month lead times were available for this study. Evaluation metrics include both deterministic and probabilistic skill measures, such as verification of anomalies based on mode ...
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