The cost of adapting to climate change in Ethiopia: sector-wise and macro-economic estimates
Available online: http://www.ifpri.org/sites/default/files/publications/esspwp53.pdf
S. Robinson ; Kenneth Strzepek ; R. Cervigni ; International Food Policy Research Institute
Published by: IFPRI ; 2013
This paper uses spatially - explicit analyses of climate change effects on selected key sectors of Ethiopia’s economy to analyse both sector-wise and economy-wide estimates of impacts and adaptation costs. Using four models to bracket the uncertainty surrounding future climate outcomes, the paper finds that by 2050 climate change could cause GDP to be eight to ten per cent smaller than under a no-climate change baseline; it could induce a two-fold increase in variability of growth in agriculture; and it would affect more severely the poor and certain parts of the country. The paper also finds that adaptation to climate change might cost an annual average of USD 0.8 to 2.8 billion, and an additional USD 1.2 to 5.8 billion if one takes into account residual damages which may not be addressed by adapting existing development plans.
The paper also provides sector-specific insights on impacts and adaptation options in agriculture, road transport and hydropower. In particular, rapid development of Ethiopia’s hydro-potential, upgrading of the road design standards, and gradual diversification of the economy away from the more climate vulnerable sectors are likely to be important elements of any climate-resilient development strategy.
Collection(s) and Series: ESSP Working Paper- No. 53
Language(s): English
Format: Digital (Free)Tags: Climate ; Agroclimatology ; Climate change ; Adaptation ; Ethiopia 
Add tag
Sorted by (Issue date descending, Date of update descending, Date of creation descending, Number of collection descending) Add the result to your favourites Refine your search
